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Turkey-backed Syria may be bigger threat than Iran, says Israeli government panel
以色列政府小组表示，土耳其支持的叙利亚可能比伊朗构成更大威胁
Government committee warns a direct clash between Turkey and Israel may be possible in Syria in the future
政府委员会警告，未来土耳其和以色列在叙利亚可能发生直接冲突
By Ragip Soylu in Istanbul, Turkey
作者：Ragip Soylu，土耳其伊斯坦布尔
Published date: 7 January 2025 11:37 GMT | Last update: 1 week 19 hours ago
发布日期：2025 年 1 月 7 日 11:37 GMT | 最后更新：1 周 19 小时前
Turkey could pose a greater threat to Israel than Iran in Syria if it supports a hostile “Sunni Islamist” force in Damascus, an Israeli government commission said on Monday.
土耳其如果在叙利亚支持敌对的“逊尼派**主义”力量，可能对以色列构成比伊朗更大的威胁，以色列政府委员会周一表示。
Ankara has emerged as a major beneficiary of the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s government in Syria last month, after a rebel offensive led by Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and other Turkish-backed Syrian groups.
安卡拉已成为巴沙尔·阿萨德政府上月垮台的主要受益者，此前由解放叙利亚联盟（HTS）和其他土耳其支持的叙利亚团体领导的叛军发动了攻势。
Since then, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has vowed to provide all forms of support, including military and security assistance, to help the new Syrian caretaker government establish public order in the country under the leadership of Ahmed al-Sharaa, also known by his nom de guerre, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani.
自那时起，土耳其总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安承诺提供包括军事和安全援助在内的各种支持，以帮助由艾哈迈德·沙拉（又名阿布·**·约拉尼）领导的新叙利亚临时政府在该国建立公共秩序。
The “Committee for the Evaluation of the Defence Establishment Budget and the Balance of Power”, chaired by former National Security Council head Yaakov Nagel, is commonly referred to in Hebrew media as the Nagel Commission or Nagel Committee.
由前国家安全委员会**雅科夫·纳格尔领导的“国防机构预算与力量平衡评估委员会”，在希伯来媒体中通常被称为纳格尔委员会或纳格尔小组。
The committee was established in 2023, prior to the outbreak of Israel's war on Gaza, to develop recommendations for the defence ministry regarding potential areas of conflict Israel could face in the coming years.
该委员会成立于 2023 年，在以色列对加沙的战争爆发之前，旨在为国防部提供关于以色列未来几年可能面临的潜在冲突领域的建议。
The committee said the “origins of the rebels and their leaders”, some of whom previously had links to groups such as al-Qaeda, should not be overlooked.
委员会表示，“反叛者及其领导人的起源”不应被忽视，其中一些人此前曾与**等团体有联系。
“For this reason, it must be considered that Israel may face a new threat arising in Syria, which in some respects could be no less severe than the previous one. This threat could take the form of an extreme Sunni force that would also refuse to recognise the very existence of Israel,” the committee said.
“因此，必须考虑到以色列可能面临叙利亚产生的新威胁，在某些方面，这种威胁的严重性不亚于之前的威胁。这种威胁可能表现为一个极端的逊尼派势力，他们同样拒绝承认以色列的存在，”委员会表示。
“Furthermore, since the Sunni rebels will wield political power by virtue of their central control in Syria, a greater threat may emerge from them than the Iranian threat, which has been limited due to Israel’s ongoing actions, as well as the restrictions placed on Iran by the sovereign Syrian state.”
“此外，由于逊尼派反叛者将通过其在叙利亚的中央控制行使政治权力，他们可能构成比伊朗更大的威胁，而伊朗的威胁因以色列的持续行动以及主权国家叙利亚对伊朗的限制而受到制约。”
The committee warned that the problem could intensify if the Syrian force effectively became a Turkish proxy, “as part of Turkey’s ambition to restore the Ottoman Empire to its former glory”.
委员会警告称，如果叙利亚部队实际上成为土耳其的代理人，“作为土耳其恢复奥斯曼帝国昔日荣光野心的一部分”，这一问题可能会加剧。
Turkey to establish strategic defence ties and military cooperation with Syria
土耳其将与叙利亚建立战略防御关系和军事合作
Read More »
报告评估称，土耳其代理势力或土耳其军队在叙利亚的存在可能会增加土耳其与以色列直接冲突的风险。
The committee also raised concerns about the risk of rearmament in both Lebanon and Syria. Soon after Assad was toppled, Israel began a bombing campaign targeting hundreds of military sites in Syria, including air assets and research centres.
委员会还对黎巴嫩和叙利亚重新武装的风险表示担忧。阿萨德倒台后不久，以色列开始了一场针对叙利亚数百个军事地点的轰炸行动，包括空中资产和研究中心。
“It is necessary to adopt a policy of ‘eliminating threats entirely and maximising response,’ combined with ‘prevention’ and proactive measures to quickly neutralise any attempts to build a threat to Israel across the border,” the report said.
报告称：“有必要采取‘彻底消除威胁并最大化响应’的政策，结合‘预防’和积极措施，以迅速消除任何试图在边境对以色列构成威胁的企图。”
“In this context, we must consider that the entry of the Turkish army into Syria could accelerate the rearmament of Syria at a relatively fast pace.”
“在这种情况下，我们必须考虑到土耳其军队进入叙利亚可能会以相对较快的速度加速叙利亚的重新武装。”
The committee further cautioned that the distinct geopolitical instability in the region could heighten tensions between Israel and Turkey, as well as Egypt.
委员会进一步警告称，该地区独特的地缘政治不稳定可能会加剧以色列与土耳其以及埃及之间的紧张关系。 |
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楼主: michaelakan
沪公网安备 31010702007642号 )
发表于 2025-1-15 08:50
希望加沙未来能恢复抵抗力量
发表于 2025-1-16 06:48
以色列fxs这是停不下来了，但也不颠颠自己几斤几两
