火球法师
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战斗力 鹅
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注册时间 2008-8-25
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按名人堂计算公式来说,身高是负分项,MVP直接忽略掉不计分,基本就是看主要场均数据和总冠军数.....顺便再贴一个HOF probability的参数公式,随便看看就知道名人堂和历史地位毫无联系。
height -0.1771
last season indicator 3.1498
NBA points per game 0.3433
NBA rebounds per game 0.4193
NBA assists per game 0.3327
NBA All-Star game selections 0.5626
NBA championships won 0.9151
Example
The parameter estimates given in the previous section can be used to obtain the predicted probability of Hall of Fame election for a particular player. I will go through an example using Jo Jo White. Find the values of the seven predictor variables for White, multiply them by the coefficients given in the table above, and find the sum of the products:
height -0.1771 * 75 = -13.2825
last season indicator 3.1498 * 0 = 0
NBA points per game 0.3433 * 17.2031 = 5.9058
NBA rebounds per game 0.4193 * 3.9964 = 1.6757
NBA assists per game 0.3327 * 4.8925 = 1.6277
NBA All-Star game selections 0.5626 * 7 = 3.9382
NBA championships won 0.9151 * 2 = 1.8302
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1.6951
To find the predicted probability of Hall of Fame election, do the following:
P(HoF election) = 1 / (1 + e**(-(1.6951)))
= 0.845
Based on Jo Jo White's statistics and accomplishments, the probability that he has been elected to the Hall of Fame is 0.845. |
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